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Commerce / Research brief / Global scope

An order is not yet a sale

$2.5tn

estimated unmet demand for trade finance

2022 estimate · published 2023 · Global estimate

Source: Asian Development Bank · Trade Finance Gaps, Growth and Jobs Survey ↗

The challenge

Businesses need working capital to fulfil cross-border orders. A financing gap makes the path from a buyer commitment to shipment a useful subject for research into documentation, risk assessment and access.

What the number does—and does not—say

This historical survey estimate concerns trade finance globally. It is not lost retail revenue or a measure of demand for software. It should not be read as a current-year forecast.

A question worth investigating

Which information is missing when a viable order cannot secure finance?

Labs research direction: start with a defined population and location, review the source methodology, and validate assumptions with people working in the sector. This question is our interpretation; the statistic alone does not establish causes or prove a particular solution.